This Week’s Forecast

DID YOU KNOW?... The typical home purchased in 2011 was built in 1993, with three bedrooms and two bathrooms in 1900 square feet of space, as reported in the latest NAR survey. >> This Week’s Forecast BUDGET, FED VIEWS, INFLATION... Wednesday's March Federal Budgetshould show the government running a big deficit, no surprise there. This will be followed by the Federal Reserve's Beige Book of economic observations from Fed districts around the country. Could be some good stuff. But the big reports will be PPI wholesale inflationon Thursday and CPI consumer inflationcome Friday. The monthly numbers are expected to reflect annual inflation rates slightly above the Fed's 2% target. This is not good, as inflation cuts consumer buying power, sends mortgage bond prices lower -- and mortgage rates up! >> The Week’s Economic Indicator Calendar Weaker than expected economic data tends to send bond prices up and interest rates down, while positive data points to lower bond prices and rising loan rates. Economic Calendar for the Week of Apr 9 – Apr 13 Date Time (ET) Release For Consensus Prior Impact W Apr 11 10:30 Crude Inventories 04/07 NA 9.009M Moderate W Apr 11 14:00 Federal Budget Mar NA –$188.2B Moderate W Apr 11 14:00 Fed's Beige Book Apr NA NA Moderate Th Apr 12 08:30 Initial Unemployment Claims 04/07 355K 357K Moderate Th Apr 12 08:30 Continuing Unemployment Claims 03/31 3.350M 3.338M Moderate Th Apr 12 08:30 Producer Price Index (PPI) Mar 0.3% 0.4% Moderate Th Apr 12 08:30 Core PPI Mar 0.2% 0.2% Moderate Th Apr 12 08:30 Trade Balance Feb –$52.0B –$52.6B Moderate F Apr 13 08:30 Consumer Price Index (CPI) Mar 0.3% 0.4% HIGH F Apr 13 08:30 Core CPI Mar 0.2% 0.1% HIGH F Apr 13 09:55 Univ. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Apr 76.1 76.2 Moderate >> Federal Reserve Watch Forecasting Federal Reserve policy changes in coming months... The Fed said it intends to keep the Funds Rate low for quite some time, which is what economists expect. Note: In the lower chart, a 1% probability of change is a 99% certainty the rate will stay the same. Current Fed Funds Rate: 0%–0.25% After FOMC meeting on: Consensus Apr 25 0%–0.25% Jun 20 0%–0.25% Jul 31 0%–0.25% Probability of change from current policy: After FOMC meeting on: Consensus Apr 25 <1% Jun 20 <1% Jul 31 <1%

For more information on Lending Contact Bailey & Wood Financial Group Juli Harding Loan Officer 51 North US 31 Whiteland, IN, 46184 Cell: 812-325-6953 Toll Free: 855-350-HOME Fax: 877-811-1269